Introduction
to the forex foreign exchange currencies market
As with many financial markets there are many derivatives of the
central market such as futures, options and forwards.
For now we will only discuss the main market or as sometimes
referred to "Spot or Cash market." aka Forex Market.
For additional Forex Market knowledge you will find a good
forex trading guide very
helpful in understanding and trading forex markets.
The word FOREX is derived from Foreign Exchange and
is the largest financial market in the world. Unlike
many markets the FX market is open 24-hrs per day
and has well over 1 Trillion US Dollars in trading volume
every day. This tremendous trading activity is more than the combined
turnover of all the world's stock markets on any given
day combined. This tends to lead to a very liquid market and
thus a desirable market to trade.
You may have noticed our website domain is "Forex Markt" Of course, the English spelling is "forex market" However, the German spelling is "forex markt" where Forex market trading is very popular with traders based in Germany and nearby European nations too involved in the FX Forex market and international currencies trading. The German language paragraph below will help German traders understand the Forex Markt.
Foreign Exchange market (FX Market, Markt für Devisengeschäfte, FOREX) ist der größte Finanzmarkt der Welt (Tagesumsatz ca. 1,9 Billionen US Dollars). Ein Devisengeschäft beinhaltet den gleichzeitigen Kauf und Verkauf von unterschiedlichen Währungen am Interbanken-markt. Dadurch bilden sich Tauschverhältnisse, so dass der Wert jeder Währung in der jeweils anderen ausgedrückt werden kann. Ab und zu findet sich auch die Bezeichnung "4X" oder "FX" als "Abkürzung der Abkürzung"
Unlike many other securities (all financial instruments
that can be traded) the FX Forex markt does not have a fixed
exchange. It is primarily traded through banks, brokers,
dealers, financial institutions and private individuals.
Forex trades are executed thru phone and increasingly online
via the Internet. It is only in the last few years that
the smaller investor has been able to gain access to
this market. Previously the large amounts of deposits
required precluded the smaller investors. With the advent
of the Internet and growing competition it is now easily
in the reach of most traders amd investors.
You will often hear the term INTERBANK discussed in
FX terminology. This originally, as the name implies
was simply banks and large institutions exchanging information
about the current rate at which their clients or themselves
were prepared to buy or sell a foreign currency. INTER meaning
between and Bank meaning deposit taking institutions
normally made up of banks, large institution, brokers
or even the government. The currency futures market has moved on to such
a degree now that the term inter bank now means anybody
who is prepared to buy or sell a currency.
It could be two individuals or your local travel agent offering
to exchange Euros for US Dollars. You will however find
that most of the brokers and banks use centralized feeds
to insure reliability of price quotes. The quotes for Bid (buy)
and Offer (sell) will all be from reliable sources.
These quotes are normally made up of the top 300 or
so large institutions. This insures that if they place
an order on your behalf that the institutions they have
placed the order with is capable of fulfilling the order.
Although we have discussed orders being fulfilled,
it is estimated that anywhere from 70%-90% of the FX
market is speculative and involves daytraders. In other words the person or
institution that bought or sold the currency has no
intention of actually taking delivery of the currency.
Instead they were solely speculating on the movement
of that particular currency.
90% of all currencies are traded against the U.S. Dollar.
The four next most traded currencies are the Euro (EUR),
Japanese Yen (JPY), Pound Sterling (GBP) and Swiss Franc(CHF).
As currencies are traded in pairs and exchanged one
for the other when traded, the rate at which they are
exchanged is called the exchange rate. These four currencies
traded against the US Dollar make up the majority of
the market and are called major currencies or the majors.
Market Mechanics
So now we know that the FX market is the largest in
the world and that your broker or institution that you
are trading with is collecting quotes from a centralized
feed or individual quotes comprising of inter bank rates.
So how are these quotes made up. Well, as we previously
mentioned currencies are traded in pairs and are each
assigned a symbol. For the Japanese Yen it is JPY, for
the Pounds Sterling it is GBP, for Euro it is EUR and
for the Swiss Frank it is CHF. So, EUR/USD would be
Euro-Dollar pair. GBP/USD would be pounds Sterling-Dollar
pair and USD/CHF would be Dollar-Swiss Franc pair and
so on. You will always see the USD quoted first with
few exceptions such as Pounds Sterling, EuroDollar,
Australia Dollar and New Zealand Dollar. The first currency
quoted is called the base currency. Have a look below
for some example.
Currency Symbol Currency Pair
EUR/USD - Euro / US Dollar
GBP/USD - Pounds Sterling/ US Dollar
USD/JPY - US Dollar / Japanese Yen
USD/CHF - US Dollar / Swiss Franc
USD/CAD - US Dollar / Canadian Dollar
AUD/USD - Australian Dollar / US Dollar
NZD/USD - New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar
When you see FX quotes you will actually see two numbers.
The first number is called the bid and the second number
is called the offer (sometimes called the ASK). If we
use the EUR/USD as an example you might see 0.9950/0.9955
the first number 0.9950 is the bid price and is the
price traders are prepared to buy Euros against the
USD Dollar. The second number 0.9955 is the offer price
and is the price traders are prepared to sell the Euro
against the US Dollar. These quotes are sometimes abbreviated
to the last two digits of the currency such as 50/55.
Each broker has its own convention and some will quote
the full number and others will show only the last two.
You will also notice that there is a difference between
the bid and the offer price and that is called the spread.
For the four major currencies the spread is normally
5 give or take a pip (will explain pips later)
To carry on from the symbol conventions and using our
previous EUR quote of 0.9950 bid, that means that 1
Euro = 0.9950 US Dollars. In another example if we used
the USD/CAD 1.4500 that would mean that 1 US Dollar
= 1.4500 Canadian Dollars.
The most common increment of currencies is the PIP.
If the EUR/USD moves from 0.9550 to 0.9551 that is one
Pip. A pip is the last decimal place of a quotation.
The Pip or POINT as it is sometimes referred to depending
on context is how we will measure our profit or loss.
As each currency has its own value it is necessary
to calculate the value of a pip for that particular
currency. We also want a constant so we will assume
that we want to convert everything to US Dollars. In
currencies where the US Dollar is quoted first the calculation
would be as follows.
Example JPY rate of 116.73 (notice the JPY only goes
to two decimal places, most of the other currencies
have four decimal places)
In the case of the JPY 1 pip would be .01 therefore
USD/JPY: (.01 divided by exchange rate = pip value)
so .01/116.73=0.0000856 it looks like a big number but
later we will discuss lot (contract) size.
USD/CHF: (.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value)
so .0001/1.4840 = 0.0000673
USD/CAD: (.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value)
so .0001/1.5223 = 0.0001522
In the case where the US Dollar is not quoted first
and we want to get to the US Dollar value we have to
add one more step.
EUR/USD: (0.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value)
so .0001/0.9887 = EUR 0.0001011 but we want to get back
to US Dollars so we add another little calculation which
is EUR X Exchange rate so 0.0001011 X 0.9887 = 0.0000999
when rounded up it would be 0.0001.
GBP/USD: (0.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value)
so 0.0001/1.5506 = GBP 0.0000644 but we want to get
back to US Dollars so we add another little calculation
which is GBP X Exchange rate so 0.0000644 X 1.5506 =
0.0000998 when rounded up it would be 0.0001.
By this time you might be rolling your eyes back and
thinking do I really need to work all this out and the
answer is no. Nearly all the brokers you will deal with
will work all this out for you. They may have slightly
different conventions but it is all done automatically.
It is good however for you to know how they work it
out. In the next section we will be discussing how these
seemingly insignificant amounts can add up.
More On Market Mechanics
Spot Forex is traditionally traded in lots also referred
to as contracts. The standard size for a lot is $100,000.
In the last few years a mini lot size has been introduced
of $10,000 and this again may change in the years to
come. As we mentioned on the previous page currencies
are measured in pips, which is the smallest increment
of that currency. To take advantage of these tiny increments
it is desirable to trade large amounts of a particular
currency in order to see any significant profit or loss.
We shall cover leverage later but for the time being
let's assume we will be using $100,000 lot size. We
will now recalculate some examples to see how it effects
the pip value.
USD/JPY at an exchange rate of 116.73
(.01/116.73) X $100,000 = $8.56 per pip
USD/CHF at an exchange rate of 1.4840
(0.0001/1.4840) X $100,000 = $6.73 per pip
In cases where the US Dollar is not quoted first the
formula is slightly different.
EUR/USD at an exchange rate of 0.9887
(0.0001/ 0.9887) X EUR 100,000 = EUR 10.11 to get back
to US Dollars we add a further step
EUR 10.11 X Exchange rate which looks like EUR 10.11
X 0.9887 = $9.9957 rounded up will be $10 per pip.
GBP/USD at an exchange rate of 1.5506
(0.0001/1.5506) X GBP 100,000 = GBP 6.44 to get back
to US Dollars we add a further step
GBP 6.44 X Exchange rate which looks like GBP 6.44
X 1.5506 = $9.9858864 rounded up will be $10 per pip
As mentioned earlier your broker may have a different
convention for calculating pip value relative to lot
size, however they do it, they will be able to tell
you what the pip value for the currency you are trading
is at that particular time. Remember that as the market
moves so will the pip value depending on what currency
you trade.
So now we know how to calculate pip value lets have
a look at how you work out your profit or loss. Let's
assume you want to buy US Dollars and Sell Japanese
Yen. The rate you are quoted is 116.70/116.75 because
you are buying the US you will be working on the 116.75,
the rate at which traders are prepared to sell. So you
buy 1 lot of $100,000 at 116.75. A few hours later the
price moves to 116.95 and you decide to close your trade.
You ask for a new quote and are quoted 116.95/117.00
as you are now closing your trade and you initially
bought to enter the trade you now sell in order to close
the trade and you take 116.95 the price traders are
prepared to buy at. The difference between 116.75 and
116.95 is .20 or 20 pips. Using our formula from before,
we now have (.01/116.95) X $100,000 = $8.55 per pip
X 20 pips =$171
In the case of the EUR/USD a forex markt trader involved in
euro daytrading
may decide to sell the EURO and is quoted
say 0.9885/0.9890 you take 0.9885. Now please do not
get confused here. Remember you are now selling and
you need a buyer. The buyer is biding 0.9885 and that
is what you take. A few hours later the EUR moves to
0.9805 and you ask for a quote. You are quoted 0.9805/0.9810
and you take 0.9810. You originally sold EUR to open
the trade and now to close the trade you must buy back
your position. In order to buy back your position you
take the price traders are prepared to sell at which
is 0.9810. The difference between 0.9810 and 0.9885
is 0.0075 or 75 pips. Using the formula from before,
we now have (.0001/0.9810) X EUR 100,000 = EUR10.19:
EUR 10.19 X Exchange rate 0.9810 =$9.99($10) so 75 X
$10 = $750.
To reiterate what has gone before, when you enter or
exit a trade at some point your are subject to the spread
in the bid/offer quote. As a rule of thumb when you
buy a currency you will use the offer price and when
you sell you will use the bid price. So when you buy
a currency you pay the spread as you enter the trade
but not as you exit and when you sell a currency you
pay no spread when you enter but only when you exit.
Leverage
Leverage financed with credit, such as that purchased
on a margin account is very common in Forex. A margined
account is a leverageable account in which Forex can
be purchased for a combination of cash or collateral
depending what your brokers will accept. The loan(leverage)
in the margined account is collateralized by your initial
margin (deposit), if the value of the trade (position)
drops sufficiently, the broker will ask you to either
put in more cash, or sell a portion of your position
or even close your position. Margin rules may be regulated
in some countries, but margin requirements and interest
vary among broker/dealers so always check with the company
you are dealing with to ensure you understand their
policy.
Up until this point you are probably wondering how
a small investor can trade such large amounts of money
(positions). The amount of leverage you use will depend
on your broker and what you feel comfortable with. There
was a time when it was difficult to find companies prepared
to offer margined accounts but nowadays you can get
leverage from a high as 1% with some brokerages. This
means you could control $100,000 with only $1,000.
Typically the broker will have a minimum account size
also known as account margin or initial margin e.g.
$10,000. Once you have deposited your money you will
then be able to trade. The broker will also stipulate
how much they require per position (lot) traded. In
the example above for every $1,000 you have you can
take a lot of $100,000 so if you have $5,000 they may
allow you to trade up to $500,00 of forex.
The minimum security (Margin) for each lot will very
from broker to broker. In the example above the broker
required a one percent margin. This means that for every
$100,000 traded the broker wanted $1,000 as security
on the position. Margin call is also something that
you will have to be aware of. If for any reason the
broker thinks that your position is in danger e.g. you
have a position of $100,000 with a margin of one percent
($1,000) and your losses are approaching your margin
($1,000). He will call you and either ask you to deposit
more money, or close your position to limit your risk
and his risk. If you are going to trade on a margin
account it is imperative that you talk with your broker
first to find out what their polices are on this type
of accounts.
Variation Margin is also very important. Variation
margin is the amount of profit or loss your account
is showing on open positions. Let's say you have just
deposited $10,000 with your broker. You take 5 lots
of USD/JPY which is $500,000. To secure this the broker
needs $5,000 (1%). The trade goes bad and your losses
equal $5001, your broker may do a margin call. The reason
he may do a margin call is that even though you still
have $4,999 in your account the broker needs that as
security and allowing you to use it could endanger yourself
and him. Another way to look at it is this, if you have
an account of $10,000 and you have a 1 lot ($100,000)
position. That's $1,000 assuming a (1% margin) is no
longer available for you to trade. The money still belongs
to you but for the time you are margined the broker
needs that as security. Another point of note is that
some brokers may require a higher margin at the weekends.
This may take the form of 1% margin during the week
and if you intend to hold the position over the weekend
it may rise to 2% or higher. Also in the example we
have used a 1% margin. This is by no means standard.
I have seen as high as 0.5% and many between 3%-5% margin.
It all depends on your broker.
There have been many discussions on the topic of margin
and some argue that too much margin is dangerous. This
is a point for the individual concerned. The important
thing to remember as with all trading is that you thoroughly
understand your brokers policies on the subject and
you are comfortable with and understand your risk.
Rollovers
Even though the mighty US dominates many markets most
of Spot Forex is still traded through London in Great
Britain. So for our next description we shall use London
time. Most deals in Forex are done as Spot deals. Spot
deals are nearly always due for settlement two business
days day later. This is referred to as the value date
or delivery date. On that date the counter parties take
delivery of the currency they have sold or bought.
In Spot FX the majority of the time the end of the
business day is 21:59 (London time). Any positions still
open at this time are automatically rolled over to the
next business day, which again finishes at 21:59. This
is necessary to avoid the actual delivery of the currency.
As Spot FX is predominantly speculative most of the
time the trades never wish to actually take delivery
of the actual currency. They will instruct the brokerage
to always rollover their position. Many of the brokers
nowadays do this automatically and it will be in their
polices and procedures. The act of rolling the currency
pair over is known as tom.next which, stands for tomorrow
and the next day. Just to go over this again, your broker
will automatically rollover your position unless you
instruct him that you actually want delivery of the
currency. Another point noting is that most leveraged
accounts are unable to actual deliver of the currency
as there is insufficient capital there to cover the
transaction.
Remember that if you are trading on margin, you have
in effect got a loan from your broker for the amount
you are trading. If you had a 1 lot position you broker
has advanced you the $100,000 even though you did not
actually have $100,000. The broker will normally charge
you the interest differential between the two currencies
if you rollover your position. This normally only happens
if you have rolled over the position and not if you
open and close the position within the same business
day.
To calculate the broker's interest he will normally
close your position at the end of the business day and
again reopen a new position almost simultaneously. You
open a 1 lot ($100,000) EUR/USD position on Monday 15th
at 11:00 at an exchange rate of 0.9950. During the day
the rate fluctuates and at 22:00 the rate is 0.9975.
The broker closes your position and reopens a new position
with a different value date. The new position was opened
at 0.9976 a 1 pip difference. The 1 pip deference reflects
the difference in interest rates between the US Dollar
and the Euro. In our example your are long Euro and
short US Dollar. As the US Dollar in the example has
a higher interest rate than the Euro you pay the premium
of 1 pip.
Now the good news. If you had the reverse position
and you were short Euros and long US Dollars you would
gain the interest differential of 1 pip. If the first
named currency has an overnight interest rate lower
than the second currency then you will pay that interest
differential if you bought that currency. If the first
named currency has a higher interest rate than the second
currency then you will gain the interest differential.
To simplify the above. If you are long (bought) a foreign
currency and that currency has a higher overnight interest
rate you will gain. If you are short (sold) the currency
with a higher overnight interest rate then you will
lose the difference.
I would like to emphasis here that although we are
going a little in-depth to explain how all this works,
your broker will calculate all this for you. The purpose
of this forex markt report is just to give you an overview of how
the forex market works. It should help your trading if you
are also familiar with trading
high yield capital markets in addition to FX trading, as they
both involved considerable trading risk of loss.
Accounts
Although the trend today is towards all transactions
eventually finishing in a profit and loss based on the
US Dollar it's
important for you to realize your profit or loss (P&L)
may not actually be in US Dollars. From my observation
the trend is more pronounced in the US as you would
expect. Most US based traders assume they will see their
balance at the end of each day in US Dollars. I have
even spoken with some traders who are oblivious to the
fact the their profit may have actually been based on
the Japanese Yen and
Japan's Yen trading market.
Let me explain a little more. You sell (go short) USD/JPY
and as such are short USD and Long (bought) JPY. You
enter the trade at 116.10 and exit 116.90. You in fact
made 80,000 Japanese Yen (1 lot traded) not US Dollars.
If you traded all four major currencies against the
US Dollar you would in fact have made or lose in EUR,
GPY, JPY and CHF. This might give you a ledger balance
at the end of the day or month with four different currencies.
This is common in London.
They will stay in that currency until you instruct
the broker to exchange the currency you have a profit or
loss into your own base currency. This actually happened
to me. After dealing with mainly
US based brokers it had never occurred to me that my
brokers statement would be in anything other than in the
US Dollar Bill.
This can work for you or against you depending on the
rate of exchange when you change back into your home
currency. Once I knew the convention I simply instructed
the broker to change my profit or loss into US Dollars
when I closed my position. It is worth checking how
your broker approaches this and simply ask them how
they handle it. A small point but worth noting.
It's a sad fact that for many years the forex market
largely remained unregulated. Even today there are many
countries that still don't regulate companies that trade
forex. London has been regulated for many years and
the US is now getting its act together and has also
started regulating companies dealing forex. It was only
recently in the US you could with no more than a website
and a few thousand dollars set up your own forex
operation and give the impression that you were larger
than you are. I am all for the entrepreneurial flair
and everyone need to start somewhere but when dealing
with people's money it is imperative that the company
you choose is solid.
Preferably you want a company that is regulated in
the nation it operates in, insured or bonded and
has some kind of track recorded. I cannot advise you
on which broker you should use as there are just to
many variables to each person, but as a rule of thumb,
nearly all countries have some kind of regulatory authority
who will be able to advise you. Most of the regulatory
authorities will have a list of brokers that fall with
their jurisdiction and will give you a list. They probably
wont tell whom to use but at least if the list came
from them you can have some confidence in those companies.
Once you have a list give a few of them a call, see
who you feel comfortable with, ask for them to send
you their polices and procedures. If you live near where
your broker is based, go spend the day with him. I have
been to many brokerage firms just to check them out. It will
give you a chance to see their trading operation and meet them.
This brings up another interesting point. When you
open a forex-account with a forex-broker you will have to fill
in some forms basically stating your acceptance of their
polices. This can range from a 1 page document to something
resembling a book. Take the time to read through these
documents and make a list of things you don't understand
or want explained. Most reputable companies will be
happy to spend some time with you on this. Your involvement
with your futures broker is largely up to you. As a forex trader
you will probably spend long hours staring at the screen
without talking to anyone. You may be the sort of person
who likes this or you may be the sort of person who
likes to chat with the dealer in the trading room. You
will normally get a call once a week or once a month
from someone in the brokerage asking if everything is
OK.
Statements
Before we move on to account statements I just want
to touch on segregation of funds. In times past there
was a danger that traders who deposited money with their
broker who did not segregate their clients money from
their own companies money were at some risk. The problem
arose if the broker misused the deposited funds to either
reinvest or otherwise manipulated these deposits to
enhance their own standing. There were also instances
were the broker became insolvent and many complications
ensued as to what was the clients money and what was
the broker's money. With the advent of regulation most
broker now segregate their clients funds from the brokerage
funds.
Margin deposits are normally held with a
bank or other
large financial institutions who are also regulated,
bonded or insured. This protects you money should
anything happen to your forex broker. The deposit taking institution
is normally aware that these deposits are client's funds.
Depending on regulation in the particular country you
live, each client may have their own segregated account
or for smaller depositors they may be pooled. The point
is that segregation of funds is a safeguard. Ask your
commodity broker
if your funds are segregated and who actually has your funds.
Just as with a bank you should are entitled to interest
on the money you have on deposit. Some broker may stipulate
that interest is only payable on accounts over a certain
amount but the trend today is that you will earn interest
on any amount you have that is not being used to cover
your margin. Your broker is probably not the most competitive
place to earn interest but that should not be the point
of having your money with him in the first place. Payment
on your account that is not being used and segregation
of funds all go to show the reputability of the company
you are dealing with.
In this section I will discuss briefly the basic account
statement. I have to keep this basic as there are as
many flavors of account statements as you can imagine.
Just about every broker has their own way of presenting
this. The most important thing is to know where you
stand at the end of each day or week. Just because your
broker is web-based and has all the bells and whistles
does not mean they are infallible. Many of the actions
taken before information is imputed are still done by
hand and if humans are involved there will be a mistake
at some point. The responsibility lies with you. It
is your money so make sure that all the transactions
are correct.
FX Some Company New York Statement for: Mr. Joe Smith
Statement Date: 16th July 2002 Account No: 123456 Summary
Of All Trades From: 15/07/05-17/07/05
| Ticket # |
Time |
Trade Date |
Value Date |
B/S |
Symbol |
Quantity |
Rate |
Debit |
Credit |
Balance |
| 123458 |
09:05 |
15/07/2005 |
17/07/05 |
B |
EUR/USD |
100,000 |
0.9850 |
|
|
$10,000 |
| 123459 |
13:01 |
15/07/2005 |
17/07/05 |
S |
EUR/USD |
100,000 |
0.9870 |
|
$200.00 |
$10,200 |
| 123460 |
14:05 |
16/07/2005 |
18/07/05 |
V |
USD/JPY |
100,000 |
116.85 |
|
|
$10,200 |
Total Equity $10,200
Margin Available $9,200
Margin Requirements $1,000
Current Position Short USD/JPY
Normally there is a ticket or docket number to help
identify the trade. You will nearly always find the
time and date of the trade. The value date if the currency
were to be delivered. You should always see the direction
of the trade, buy or sell (Long or Short). The amount
and rate you bought or sold. Balance to let you know
if you made a profit or a loss. You should also see
any open positions you may have and the margin requirements
for that position. A lot of the more modern systems
will show your open position as though it has been closed
just to give you an up to the minute balance.
The Main Players
Central Banks And Governments
Policies that are implemented by governments and central
banks can play a major roll in the FX market. Central
banks can play an important part in controlling the
country's money supply to insure financial stability.
Banks
A large part of FX turnover is from banks. Large banks
can literally trade billions of dollars daily. This
can take the form of a service to their customers or
they themselves speculate on the FX market.
Hedge Funds
As we know the FX market can be extremely liquid which
is why it can be desirable to trade. Hedge Funds have
increasingly allocated portions of their portfolios
to speculate on the FX market. Another advantage Hedge
Funds can utilize is a much higher degree of leverage
than would typically be found in the equity markets.
Corporate Businesses
The FX market mainstay is that of international trade.
Many companies have to import or exports goods to different
countries all around the world. Payment for these goods
and services may be made and received in different currencies.
Many billions of dollars are exchanges daily to facilitate
trade. The timing of those transactions can dramatically
affect a company's balance sheet.
The Man In The Street
Although you may not think it the man in the street
also plays a part in toady's FX world. Every time he
goes on holiday overseas he normally need to purchase
that country's currency and again change it back into
his own currency once he returns. Unwittingly he is
in fact trading currencies. He may also purchase goods
and services while overseas and his credit card company
has to convert those sales back into his base currency
in order to charge him.
Speculators And Investors
We shall differentiate speculator from investors here
with the definition that an investor has a much longer
time horizon in which he expects his investment to yield
a profit. Regardless of the difference both speculators
and investors will approach the FX market to exploit
the movement in currency pairs. They both will have
their reason for believing a particular currency will
perform better or worse as the case may be and will
buy or sell accordingly. They may decide that the Euro
will appreciate against the US Dollar and take what
is called a long position in Euro. If the Euro does
in fact gain ground against the US Dollar they will
have made a profit.
Conclusion
Well now we have a basic understanding of how the FX
market works and who the main players are, what next?
You are now going to have to decide the best way to
trade the market. The two most common approaches are
that of fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
Fundamental analysis concentrates on the forces of
supply and demand for a given security. This approach
examines all the factors that determine the price of
a security and the real value of that security. This
is referred to as the intrinsic value. If the intrinsic
value is below the market price then there is an opportunity
to buy and if the market is above the intrinsic price
then there is an opportunity to sell.
Technical analysis is the study of market action, mainly
through the use of price charts and indicators to forecast
the future price of a financial trading market. There are three main
points that a technical analyst applies. A. Market action
discounts everything. Regardless of what the fundamentals
are saying, the price you see is the price you get.
B. The price of a given security moves in trends. C.
The historical trend of a security will tend to repeat.
Of all of the above things the most important of them
is point A. The tools of the technical analyst are indicators,
patterns and systems. These tools are applied to charts.
Moving averages, support and resistance lines, envelopes,
Bollinger bands and momentum are all examples of technical
indicators and forex markt technical analysis.
Fundamental and technical analysis are the two most
popular ways of trading FX. It should prove beneficial
to get you on the long road to profitable forex trading
if you attend a commodity
futures trading seminar, or for stocks, options
and stock indices traders a stock
market trading seminar from time-to-time.
|